Background
As a young Sales Manager joining
Intel in 1982, I remember being overawed by the sheer professionalism
of the company. 20 years ago, Intel seemed to know that they would become
a multi-billion dollar corporation and that they would have to build
scaleable business processes to support their growth. I learnt more
about running a business in my first year at Intel than I had in the
previous 15 years in the computer industry (working for two companies
who were perhaps rather less prepared for the impact of change).
Intel did many things well, including
delegation of responsibility to the lowest level, recognising the need
for channels of distribution, Management by Objectives (MBOs), "Ranking
and Rating" of employees, Corrective Action Programs for sub-standard
performance, treating all employees equally - we all drove the same
company car, and nobody had an office, including the CEO, Andy Grove.
(This management style is described in detail in Andy's book "High
Output Management")
Naturally, Intel wasn't perfect
and I particularly disliked the commission scheme which paid less at
>100% of target. However, the process Intel really mastered was Sales
Forecasting and this became key to the company's success at capacity
planning of wafer fabrication facilities. It is no exaggeration to say
that in every company I have worked at since Intel, I have introduced
a derivative of their forecasting system. It is also true that many
companies in high technology are managed by executives who have previously
worked for Intel and, like me, have inherited Intel's business planning
culture. In turn Intel, I am sure, would readily admit that some of
their ideas were inherited from Texas Instruments and Fairchild.
Subsequently, I have seen a number
of American high-tech companies who came close to disaster because they
surprised the investment community with poor numbers at the last minute
- the most notable being a large workstation manufacturer who, at one
time, couldn't manufacture enough products to meet their quarterly revenue
target because they hadn't foreseen the level of bookings they would
achieve. I remember thinking at the time that they could do with some
basic Intel ideology on the three B's - Bookings, Billings and Backlog.
I should also say that, as my own Board of Directors and previous managers
will verify, I am not always as accurate in my own forecasting as they
would like me to be!
The solution to this forecasting
challenge is available as the Procession Revenue Planning Edition (RPe).